Is CPI Generated from Stationary Process? An Investigation on Unit Root Hypothesis of Indi’s CPI

Mohammad Naim Azimi

Abstract: In this paper, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of India is tested on whether it is generated from a stationary process for the purpose of which, a set of time series data on CPI with 4,420 observation arranged on daily basis from November 10, 2003 to December 16, 2015 is retrieved from the official website of National Bureau of Economic Research. The testing procedure includes fitted OLS regression on which the Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root test are computed. The statistical analysis of both ADF and PP exhibit a smaller test statistic value for CPI than the critical value at 0.05 which means that CPI is not generated from a stationary process and it follows unit root at level, though, it follows unit root and it is stationary at its first difference. Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative.

Keywords: CPI; Unit Root; Stationary Process; Augmented Dickey Fuller; Philips-Perron.

Title: Is CPI Generated from Stationary Process? An Investigation on Unit Root Hypothesis of Indi’s CPI

Author: Mohammad Naim Azimi

International Journal of Management and Commerce Innovations

ISSN 2348-7585 (Online)

Research Publish Journals

Vol. 3, Issue 2, October 2015 – March 2016

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Is CPI Generated from Stationary Process? An Investigation on Unit Root Hypothesis of Indi’s CPI by Mohammad Naim Azimi