Prediction of Potential Thunderstorm Over Ocean near Sriharikota

Prashant Singh

Abstract: A study with primary importance given to the potential value of parameters derived from Radio sounding and scatterometer wind data for forecasting the thunderstorm associated with convective storm is presented here. The main aim of this study is to predict the thunderstorm with a lead-time by making use of four parameters i.e. lifted index, K index, Vorticity and divergence respectively. In the present work, we have used data for 2 years out of which the first year data is used for deciding the criteria or finding the threshold value for prediction. These parameters are applied to the second year data for verification. It was observed that the chosen parameters shows good linearity to the thunderstorm occurrence for about 6 hours I advance. The reported work bears importance as it used just 2 input parameters information from Radio Sounding and Scattterometer each to predict the thunderstorm occurrence over the consider region.

Keywords: Radio sounding, scatterometer, Lifted Index, K-index, Vorticity and Divergence.

Title: Prediction of Potential Thunderstorm Over Ocean near Sriharikota

Author: Prashant Singh

International Journal of Interdisciplinary Research and Innovations

ISSN 2348-1218 (print), ISSN 2348-1226 (online)

Research Publish Journals

Vol. 3, Issue 3, July 2015 – September 2015

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Prediction of Potential Thunderstorm Over Ocean near Sriharikota by Prashant Singh