Vol 3 Issue 3 July 2015-September 2015

Abstract: Governments have enacted legislations and prescribed structural measures to govern urban development in order to mitigate urban flooding and other disasters. However, as settlement activities in peri-urban areas increase, flooding incidents have been observed to escalate. The objective of this paper was to analyse the relationship between homeowners’ environmental attitude and the onset of flooding in Mavoko. The study targeted heads of household; the general public; officials of government and quasi-government institutions as well as professional associations responsible for environment, settlement and disaster mitigation; leaders of religious and community organisations and societies responsible for emergency management and humanitarian support in Machakos and Nairobi Counties. The study took a survey design and used multistage random, snowballing, purposive and quota sampling techniques to identify participants. The study used mixed methods to collect quantitative and qualitative data using questionnaire, interview guide, document analysis, focus group discussions and observation. Data were analysed through descriptive analysis, Nomothetic evaluation, Chi-square test at a level of significance of 95% (α = 0.05), and Crammer’s V analysis. The study revealed that there was a significant relationship between the homeowners’ environmental attitude and the onset of flooding. The study recommends that policy makers and settlement planers, together with other players, to develop packages that will generate positive environmental attitude change among households.>

Keywords: environmental attitude, urbanisation, peri-urban human settlement, urban flooding.

Title: Homeowners’ Environmental Attitude and Onset of Flooding In Mavoko Peri-Urban Settlement of Nairobi Metropolis, Kenya

Author: Omukaga O. Panyako, Jacob W. Wakhungu, Felix Ngunzo Kioli

International Journal of Thesis Projects and Dissertations (IJTPD)

Research Publish Journals

Abstract: This study has two main parts, part one consist of highlighting the statistical procedure which can be used to find out the best model among GARCH-family models for modelling the exchange market of Rwanda using the daily exchange rate data for 2038 days since 2010/01/01. Part two consist of modeling residuals extracted from a selected GARCH model using the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) and the Generalized Extreme Values (GEV), then estimate the Value at Risk(VaR) and the Expected Shortfall (ES) from both GPD and GEV models. In the first part, the study employed four models from the family of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity models (GARCH) combined with the mean model ARMA; among which this study chose to estimate ARMA(1,1)-GARCH (1,1), ARMA(1,1)-GJR-GARCH(1,1), ARMA(1,1)-EGARCH(1,1)  and ARMA(1,1)-APARCH(1,1,1) and choose the best among them, with a view to approximate the dynamics exchange market volatility. 

Keywords:  Volatility, GARCH-family models, Extreme value theory, Value at risk, Expected shortfall.

Title: Modeling Exchange Market Volatility Risk in Rwanda Using GARCH-EVT Approach

Author: Rafiki Murenzi, Kigabo Thomas, Joseph K. Mung’atu

International Journal of Thesis Projects and Dissertations (IJTPD)

Research Publish Journals

Abstract: In order to test whether the assumption of homoscedasticity is valid or not for Rwanda Corporate Income tax, we estimated a correctly specified Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model of the underlying time series, this helped to remove the linear dependence in the series. To test for Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) effects the residuals of the mean equation from the ARIMA model have been used.  It was verified through the Autocorrelation Function (ACF), Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF) and Ljung-Box Q-statistics that the residuals of the mean equation did not show any significant serial correlation and that the model provided a good fit. The most appropriate specification model the volatility of Corporate Income tax collections in Rwanda was found to be a GARCH (1,1) model given the characteristics of the time series and the overall fit of the model. The autocorrelation functions of the residuals and squared residuals were also examined to confirm the model adequacy.

Keywords: Volatility, Corporate income tax, Autoregressive, and Heteroscedasticity.

Title: Volatility Modelling of Corporate Income Tax (CIT) in Rwanda

Author: Lucie NIYIGENA, Dr. Marcel Ndengo, Dr. Joseph K. Mung’atu

International Journal of Thesis Projects and Dissertations (IJTPD)

Research Publish Journals

Abstract: Irish potatoes is one of the most preferable foods produced and consumed by Rwandans, the fact that its price fluctuates famers suffer from the decrease of price that bring them a loss. This work contribute on the forecasting the volatility using GARCH models with nine (9) years (from January 2007 to May 2015) daily data on price of Irish potatoes, price of fertilizers (NPK ), price of pest ( dithan ) and exchange rate (Rwf/Usd) to forecast the volatility of price of Irish potatoes, that will help alert farmers to be aware of the fluctuation of price of Irish potatoes in the studied areas. The methodology of this work is Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity GARCH and Vector Error Correction Model VECM to study and forecast the volatilities of price of Irish potatoes. In the study GARCH model is used to forecast the fluctuation of price of Irish potatoes. VECM cannot be used because the considered series are not correlated with fluctuation of price of Irish potatoes in the studied areas. Farmer are advised to work in cooperative so that they may look for market as team in time of harvest, they are also advised to look means haw they can store the harvest in time of price fall. Future researchers may look for other financial series that granger cause the fluctuation of Irish potatoes and use them in restricted auto regressive model to test their long run causality with volatility of price of Irish potatoes.

Keywords: Price of Irish potatoes, GARCH model, VEC Model, Volatilities, Forecasting.

Title: Forecasting Price of Irish Potatoes Volatility Using GARCH and VECM Models in Rwanda

Author: Nsabimana Innocent, Joseph Kyalo Mung’atu, Kigabo Thomas

International Journal of Thesis Projects and Dissertations (IJTPD)

Research Publish Journals

Abstract: Uncertain data is inherent in a few important applications such as environmental surveillance and mobile object tracking. Top-k queries (also known as ranking queries) are often natural and useful in analyzing uncertain data in those applications. In this paper, we study the problem of answering probabilistic threshold top-k queries on uncertain data, which computes uncertain records taking a probability of at least p to be in the top-k list where p is a user specified probability threshold. I present an efficient exact algorithm, a fast sampling algorithm, and a Poisson approximation based algorithm. An empirical study using real and synthetic data sets verifies the effectiveness of probabilistic threshold top-k queries and the efficiency of our methods.

Keywords: Dimension incomplete database, similarity search, whole sequence query.

Title: Searching Measurement for Imperfect Databases

Author: Sreeja VS, G. Thilagavathi

International Journal of Thesis Projects and Dissertations (IJTPD)

Research Publish Journals

Abstract: This article focuses on evaluating the impact of celebrity endorsements in public awareness campaigns focusing on the energy conservation campaigns done by KSEB.A research methodology has been constructed to carry out the research in an effective manner. This is achieved by adopting the qualitative research method of questionnaires with the Kerala consumers who have explained the impact of various PR activities by KSEB. This paper is trying to throw the light of the various factors focus on Impact of Celebrity Endorsements in public awareness campaigns and other PR activities.  The present study collected through a sample of 70 respondents selected randomly from different districts of Kerala, this study has disclosed the reach of celebrity endorsements among public. The impact of other PR activities done by KSEB has been discussed. It is quite fascinating to see how viewers relate themselves to these popular celebrities and how this new technique grabs the minds of the consumers.

Keywords: Public Awareness Campaigns, Celebrity Endorsements, PR Activities.

Title: Impact of Celebrity Endorsement in Public Awareness Campaigns

Author: Akhila B Pillai

International Journal of Thesis Projects and Dissertations (IJTPD)

Research Publish Journals

Abstract: Extracurricular activities are a useful part of education that will provide positive gains for students. These activities will motivate students to accomplish their curricular goals. Extracurricular activities will help students to gain confidence and enable students to display their skills and abilities with ease in a classroom practice. These activities will provide students a language learning environment, and encourage students to improve their level of English. This paper puts forward how extracurricular activities facilitate English language learning process.

Keywords: Extracurricular activities, skills, practice, language learning.

Title: The Key to Success in English Learning Can Be Involvement in Extra Curricular

Author: Yunus Yildiz

International Journal of Thesis Projects and Dissertations (IJTPD)

Research Publish Journals

Abstract: This paper attempts to find the portrait of Bangladeshi women empowerment in Chobi Mela. Using the photographs of only Bangladeshi photographers from the Chobi Mela I to Chobi Mela VII exhibitions as the only source of data, the paper used quantitative content analysis of the photographs to figure data which may support the topic.Women in Bangladesh are in a process to be empowered. Education, profession, politics, change in society and new technology is getting women to a place where they can feel a sense of empowerment. Maybe Bangladesh is not the country with most empowered women; but it is working and stepping forward on the goal of achieving women empowerment. Each year Chobi Mela comes with a different theme and with that theme in center there are always some other subject which are exhibited in Chobi Mela. Among the subjects, there is also Bangladeshi women empowerment. This paper attempts to find the trends of Bangladeshi photographs on Bangladeshi women empowerment. The paper came up with graphs and charts which directs to a conclusion of the paper which is, there is portrayal of Bangladeshi women empowerment in Chobi Mela but it is not enough and not even increasing by every exhibition. To increase the portrayal of Bangladeshi women empowerment in Chobi Mela, the paper also gave some recommendations to both the authority of Chobi Mela and Bangladeshi Photographers.

Keywords: Chobi Mela, Bangladesh, Photography, Women Empowerment, Quantitative.

Title: The Portrait of Bangladeshi Women Empowerment in Chobi Mela

Author: Sabbir Ahmed

International Journal of Thesis Projects and Dissertations (IJTPD)

Research Publish Journals